Regimes come and go as none can last, but hype and wishful-thinking about the imminent collapse of the regime in Iran has always been with us:
Is Iran nearing point where revolution is spent?
The Christian Science Monitor July 30, 1980
Political infighting in Iran casts doubt over future
of revolution. John Kifner.
The New York Times Feb 9, 1981
Renewed unrest in mullah-ruled Iran – is a second
revolution beginning? Ralph Joseph.
The Christian Science Monitor August 25, 1981
Iran regime’s staying power is debated by observers
after new bombing attack. David Ignatius.
The Wall Street Journal Sept 1, 1981
In revolutionary Iran: rising discontent: food and
freedom are in short supply as Muslim change and war
take a toll. Claude van England.
The Christian Science Monitor Oct 6, 1982
War could threaten long-term stability of Iran regime.
Claude van England.
The Christian Science Monitor Feb 27, 1985
Iran regime suffering its worst crisis; war, economy,
succession void plague nation. William Tuohy.
Los Angeles Times July 10, 1988
Discontent with revolution emerges in post-Khomeini
Iran. Patrick E. Tyler.
The Washington Post July 16, 1989
Painful rise in prices stirs discontent in Iran.
The New York Times August 3, 1991
Iran’s revolution grows old; after 14 years, Islamic
rules faces apathy, discontent, infighting. Caryle
The Washington Post Feb 12, 1993
Inflation fuels discontent against Iran’s government.
The New York Times Nov 20, 1994
In Iran, the revolution unravels. (economic conditions
in Iran) Robin Wright.
Los Angeles Times Dec 2, 1994
The revolution erodes in rural Iran. (growing
disenchantment with religious rulers) Kayaton Ghazi.
The New York Times Feb 18, 1995
Second revolution brews in Iran; the crucial support
of the poor and merchants is being undercut by
economic reforms. Lamis Andoni.
The Christian Science Monitor April 12, 1995
Youthful cravings are aging Iran’s revolution; As
ideology dies, voices of dissent grow louder. John
Los Angeles Times March 26, 1996
Iran discontent rises as oil-based economy falls.
(International Pages) Douglas Jehl.
The New York Times Dec 13, 1998
Time is running out for Tehran regime. (pro-democracy
movement in Iran is growing)(Column) Sandra Mackey.
Los Angeles Times July 23, 1999
Discontent Simmers in Iran. (Editorial)
Los Angeles Times June 12, 2001
Iran: Soccer or politics or both? (800 arrested during
rioting after Iran lost World Cup)(International
The New York Times Oct 23, 2001
In Iran, an angry generation longs for jobs, more
freedom and power. (International Pages) Amy Waldman.
The New York Times Dec 7, 2001
Iran’s next revolution. (need for US support to help
Iranians fight government’s repressive
measures)(Column) Michael A. Ledeen.
The Wall Street Journal June 5, 2002
Iran’s third wave. (the third generation in Iran is
expected to begin another revolution)(Column) Thomas
The New York Times June 16, 2002
The coming revolution in Iran. (influence of the
Shiite theocracy and the mullahs will soon crumble
The Wall Street Journal July 29, 2002
In Iran, a ’second revolution’ gathers steam; Ten days
of pro-democracy protests spur militants to counter
with a show of conservative force in the streets.
The Christian Science Monitor Nov 29, 2002
Iran’s failed revolution. (Ayatollah Ruhollah
The New York Times Feb 10, 2003
Iran: Ripe for Revolution? (EDITORIAL)
The Christian Science Monitor June 16, 2003
Pending Regime Change in Iran. EDITORIAL
The Christian Science Monitor Jan 13, 2004
Iran’s revolution at 25: out of gas; Wednesday’s
silver anniversary marks a peak of political
The Christian Science Monitor Feb 11, 2004
People ask me why I don't really cover the demonstations in Iran on this blog. As I have said before, this blog is not a news agency, and it is limited to my own interests which happen to be foreign affairs specifically the nuclear issue. However, if you're curious what I think about the events in Iran, the answer is... meh. I'm not overly excited. For one thing this is really an internal conflict between factions of the same regime, and secondly, the hyped reporting about a "second revolution" is hardly new as seen above. A regime is a creation of Man, and as such is never ever-lasting. Even if there is a "second revolution" in Iran, Iran's foreign policy won't chage, just as things didn't fundamentally change when the Shah was replaced by the IRI. No Iranian government can afford to give up their nuclear program, and no Iranian government can afford to be seen laying down for Israel.