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July 29, 2009

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Cyrus,

I'm curious what you think is fueling the continued protests and whether you believe the government is at risk.

I should mention that I have always admired Iran's courage in standing up to the west and acknowledge it has been an essential bulwark against American-Israeli expansionism. But the price paid through economic isolation has been high and maybe Iran's people are no longer willing to pay it. If so, it has to be their choice.

[Cy responds: much of it is genuine pent-up frustration but it is socially limited and so I don't think the government is at risk. Don't forget, Mousavi is very much part of the same regime. This is an intra-regime conflict, exploited by some exile groups for their own ends. Some people say that means the regime has "fractured" and rejoice at that -- but it was never really so monolithic as portrayed.]

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