The Economist has come out with one of their standard Bush-propaganda pieces about Iran's nuclear program, dripping with snide innuendo and half-truths as usual. I thought it would be fun to poke fun at them and Economist editor Peter David's belief that they've got us all fooled into thinking that the Economist is actually a reliable news source. In fact it is no better than the Weekly Standard and the other Far Right rags we read here in the US, and its reportage on Iran's nuclear program promotes the standard Bush administration memes.
Spinning out nuclear talks
Apr 17th 2008
From The Economist print edition
Is there still time for a miracle?
MAHMOUD AHMADINEJAD, Iran's ebullient president, enjoys a boast. He particularly likes to crow on what he calls national nuclear day: the anniversary of the first production two years ago of low-enriched uranium to fuel yet-to-be-built civilian nuclear reactors. (That is Iran's description; others suspect weapons intent.)
In this single paragraph, we are presented with no less than three Bush administration memes:
First, the usual demonization of Ahmadinejad and efforts to link Iran's nuclear program to him, when in fact he has very little say over Iran's nuclear program (which started long before he was elected into office.) So we see terms like "crow", "boastful", "trumpeted" -- all in one place. This effort to reduce international conflict down to the identity/character of a single guy who is then painted as being "bad" or "evil" is a characteristic of the US administration -- it fits into Good Guy - Bad Guy narrative they like to sell to the world.
Second, note the reference to the "yet-to-be-built" reactors. The meme, in case you missed it, is that Iran is making enriched uranium for nuclear fuel when it doesn't have any reactors to use the fuel -- and so obviously Iran must be making enriched uranium for nukes -- in short, Iran's enrichment program is weapons related. However, the fact is that Iran needs 50,000 centrifuges for a nuclear fuel program -- not the 6000 it has just now barely started to operate. So while it is true thatIran doesn't (yet) have nuclear reactors (it has announced plans to construct additional reactors) it doesn't really have a fully operating nuclear enrichment program yet either and Iran is still developing BOTH. And, the current enrichment program only makes Low Enriched Uranium -- which can't be used for bombs.
The third meme is one of "weapons intent" -- the Bush administration strongly criticized the IAEA and attempted to topple ElBaradei from office when he reported that Iran's nuclear activities had no relation to a weapons program --- so instead the Bush administration has resorted to accusing Iran of having the "intent" to make nukes --- which, conveniently for Bush, the IAEA inspectors can never disprove. Note that any country can be be accused of having the "intent" to make nukes. Japan, Lichtenstein, Egypt, Taiwan, S. Korea etc. all could right now "intend" to make nukes (and the last three were caught violating IAEA safeguards too.) So this is a nonsense accusation, which the Economist simply repeats with relish.
So last week Mr Ahmadinejad trumpeted that work had started on 6,000 new fast-spinning centrifuge machines, beyond the 3,000 already up and running, at Iran's uranium-enrichment plant at Natanz. Shortly, says his foreign minister, there will be new diplomatic proposals to mollify critics of these nuclear plans. Yet the gambit may be a sign that not all things nuclear are going Iran's way.
This is another Bush administration meme, which is ultimately intendedt to defeat any suggestion that the US and Iran should come to an accomodation (specifically, by the US agreeing to multinational enrichment on Iranian soil) The meme is interestign because it is contradictory: On one hand they engage in SCAREMONGERING by claiming that Iran is making wild advances (thousands of centrifuges! oh my!) as it rushes forward to build nukes. But since this would also strengthen the argument that Iran's nuclear program is a fait accompli, they also also resort to DOWNPLAYING Iran's technical advances in order to suggest that the program is not a fait accompli and so there's still room for the US to stop Iran's nuclear program.
So far it has brushed off three sets of UN Security Council sanctions, imposed for its refusal to suspend enrichment. The publication in December of parts of a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) from America's spies, which said Iran ended its weapons programme in 2004, left Iran jubilant, while still denying wrongdoing.
It also complicated efforts by six countries (America, Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China) to keep Iran in the nuclear dock. Yet the hardest part of weapons-making—getting enough highly enriched uranium, spun in centrifuges just like those at Natanz, or plutonium—goes on regardless, in plain sight.
How dare they "still deny wrongdoing"! In fact, the NIE said that Iran stopped a weapons program in 2003, not 2004. And in fact, as the Russians pointed out, there was never any evidence that Iran had a nuclear weapon program in 2003 either. And in fact, there's absolutely no reason to take the NIE at face value at all -- the previous NIE asserted with great confidence that Iran had an on-going nuclear weapons program in 2005, and another NIE claimed that Iraq had WMDs. But regardless, the Right has not been happy with the NIE, and so they like to cast aspersions on it by suggesting that the release of the NIE was wrong thing to do and that it was somehow wrongly exploited by Iran to its advantage, and more importantly, that the NIE's conclusion that Iran had no nuclear weapons program is plain wrong since Iran's enrichment program must automatically deemed to be weapons-related.
But earlier this year the IAEA received a pile of intelligence from America and others. This and its own snooping suggest military links to the nuclear programme, secretive procurement efforts, high-explosive testing useful in triggers for nuclear bombs, and design work on a missile cone able to carry a nuclear warhead.
Much is yet to be authenticated, but last month the IAEA's chief inspector took the unusual step of briefing members of its 35-nation board, including Iran, on the detailed allegations.
Ah, now were reaching the "Alleged Studies" meme. "Alleged studies" is what the IAEA head Mohammad ELBaradei called them -- because they're "alleged" by the US, though the Bush administrations' propaganda machine has tried oh so hard to attribute the claims to the IAEA, and to bolster their credibility by suggesting that the IAEA has independently found evidence that somehow prove the claims. They're doing this because they want oh so desperately the distract attention from the fact that these "alleged studies" claims all really come from the so-called "Laptop of Death" which is obviously a fake much like the Yellowcake from Niger documnts that were used against Iraq.
Iran dismisses these as “baseless”. Yet this week it called off a meeting with the head of the IAEA, Mohamed ElBaradei, who was set to press for answers. Iran may hope a new diplomatic initiative will distract attention from a shady past. Unless co-operation is forthcoming, however, the next IAEA report, due for publication next month, will be sharply critical.
The Economist suggest that Iran's "calling off" a meeting is somehow evidence of the validity of the US allegations. They're trying to portray Iranians as silly people who, having been "caught" off guard by the US allegations, are all in a twitter, "calling off" meetings right and left. In fact the meeting was simply rescheduled, and this is a normal event in world affairs.
And how do we know that this up-coming IAEA report will be "sharply critical"?? Because the Economist and the rest of Bush's media machine have characterized every single IAEA report as being "sharply critical" of Iran -- regardless of what the report actually said. The previous report by the IAEA, issued in Feb 2008, which specifically stated that it had clarified all of the oustanding issues with Iran as agreed by the Nov 2007 agreement, was also mischaracterized as being "sharply critical" and somehow damning of Iran.
Meanwhile, Iran hopes to convince the world that pressing for suspension of enrichment is pointless. Two retired American diplomats, William Luers and Thomas Pickering, agree. They propose instead helping Iran's enrichment effort, in a sort of joint venture, in the hope that inspectors may keep better track of the uranium that way. But teaching Iran the (militarily useful) enrichment skills it still lacks hardly seems the way to build confidence that its nuclear work is peaceful. In any case, though Iran suggests it is racing ahead, the first 3,000 centrifuges at Natanz have not worked that well. The new ones can spin up to three times faster but will be tricky to operate.
We're back to the meme that there should be no accomodation (scaremonger/deny "fait accompli") with Iran. See above for the details.
Between the NIE report, which reduced any temptation by America to bomb Iran's nuclear
facilities, and these technical problems, may there be time for diplomacy?
For two years Mr Ahmadinejad has turned down a raft of incentives from the six in return for suspension: advanced civilian nuclear technology (including reactors, but not technologies that can be easily abused for weapons-making) Russian enrichment of Iran's uranium; buffer stocks of safeguarded nuclear fuel to guard against supply disruptions; support for Iran to join the World Trade Organisation, and for a conference on regional security. Even the enrichment suspension need not be for ever.
This is the "diplomacy doesn't work" meme. The editors of the Economist of course realize that overt support for a US attack on Iran won't go over well -- its not popular -- so they disguise the "we should bomb Iran" meme by recasting it as the "Diplomacy hasn't worked" meme. They go into great detail in explaining the incentives offered by the US/EU-3 which they play up -- but they take care to avoid mentioning the one reason why Iran would quite logically reject these offers (Iran would still be reliant on outside sources of enriched uranium an non-binding promises of delivery to power it economy, when it has every legal right to have its own enrichment program just like any other country in the world.)
Meanwhile Israel, most threatened by Iran's rockets and claimed nuclear prowess, has just had its first “strategic dialogue” with Britain; talks with America have intensified. Despite the diplomatic activity, for Israel the clock still ticks.
Now we come to Israel as being "threatened" by Iran meme -- have you noticed that Israel is always the "threatened" party and never the "threatening" party? Note the "clock still ticks" phrase -- it means that the Israelis are counting down to bombing Iran, and naturally since according to the Economist, they're "threatened" then the economist is simply pre-emptively legitimizing such an attack. In this meme, using military force against Iran's perfectly legal, economically-justified, civilian, IAEA-monitored nuclear program is legitimized.
So, in summary, here are the memes (I think you can spot them in other coverage by the Bush administration's mouthpieces such as the Economist)
1- Crazy, scary Ahmadinejad is in charge of Iran's nuclear program and wants to get nuclear weapons.
2- Iran's enrichment program is intended to make nukes (no matter what the IAEA report actually says and the fact that the IAEA has never found any actual evidence of the weapons program alleged.)
3- The NIE was wrong in saying that Iran stopped a nuclear weapons effort in 2003 since the continuing enrichment program is necessarily weapons-related.
4- There should be no accomodation with Iran by, for example, accepting Iran's offer to implement a multinational program for nuclear enrichment. There should be no enrichment in Iran, period.
5- Time for "diplomacy" is running out, and when it does, "threatend" Israel is entitled to attack Iran.
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